Econsignal Divergence

{
  "alternative_signals": {
    "electricity_consumption": "+3.2% YoY — broadly consistent with claimed GDP growth",
    "google_mobility": "Retail/recreation +8% above baseline; workplace mobility elevated (full employment in defense sector)",
    "nightlights_trend": "European Russia stable; Urals/Siberia industrial corridor showing elevated activity (defense production)",
    "satellite_urban_activity": "Moscow construction activity elevated; regional cities mixed",
    "shipping_ais": "Baltic and Black Sea exports declined 40% by volume post-sanctions; Asian routing up 180%"
  },
  "divergence_assessment": {
    "confidence": "Medium-Low",
    "credibility_max": 100,
    "credibility_score": 45,
    "key_distortions": [
      "Defense spending 7.1% of GDP in 2024 — government demand masking private sector contraction",
      "Labor market tightness is real but reflects conscription losses, not economic health",
      "Inflation likely 12-18% vs official 7.4% — price controls and basket manipulation documented"
    ],
    "verdict": "Partial divergence — GDP growth plausible but composition distorted; defense sector masks civilian economy weakness"
  },
  "investor_implications": "Russia GDP figures are technically accurate but deeply misleading as an investment signal. The civilian economy ex-defense has contracted. Sanctions burden is accumulating, not receding.",
  "official_claims": {
    "gdp_growth_2023_pct": 3.6,
    "gdp_growth_2024_pct": 3.9,
    "inflation_pct": 7.4,
    "source": "Rosstat (Russian Federal Statistics Service)",
    "unemployment_pct": 2.9
  },
  "query_summary": {
    "analysis_date": "2026-06-07",
    "country": "Russia",
    "iso2": "RU",
    "iso3": "RUS"
  }
}

# bash or zsh: see the payment challenge. Nothing is charged.
curl -sS -g -i 'https://econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com/api/econsignal/divergence?country=China&lang=en'

# x402 v2 sends the challenge base64-encoded in the PAYMENT-REQUIRED header (v1 sends it in the body).
# To read the header:
curl -sS -g -o /dev/null -D - 'https://econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com/api/econsignal/divergence?country=China&lang=en' \
  | grep -i '^payment-required:' | cut -d' ' -f2 | tr -d '\r' | base64 --decode

// npm i @x402/fetch @x402/evm viem
import { wrapFetchWithPayment, x402Client } from "@x402/fetch";
import { registerExactEvmScheme } from "@x402/evm/exact/client";
import { privateKeyToAccount } from "viem/accounts";

// Pays at most $0.2 per call.
const client = new x402Client().setSpendControls({ maxAmountPerPayment: "$0.2" });
registerExactEvmScheme(client, { signer: privateKeyToAccount(process.env.EVM_PRIVATE_KEY) });
const pay = wrapFetchWithPayment(fetch, client);

// Not sure it's safe to pay? ToolVet checks it first for $0.005. Pay for that from a separate
// client: this one is capped at $0.2 per payment. GET https://toolvet.app/api/v1/check?url=https%3A%2F%2Feconsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com%2Fapi%2Feconsignal%2Fdivergence
const res = await pay("https://econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com/api/econsignal/divergence?country=China&lang=en");
console.log(res.status, await res.text());

# pip install "x402[requests,evm]"
import os
from eth_account import Account
from x402 import x402ClientSync
from x402.http.clients import x402_requests
from x402.mechanisms.evm import EthAccountSigner
from x402.mechanisms.evm.exact.register import register_exact_evm_client

# Pays at most $0.2 per call.
client = x402ClientSync().set_spend_controls({"max_amount_per_payment": "$0.2"})
register_exact_evm_client(client, EthAccountSigner(Account.from_key(os.environ["EVM_PRIVATE_KEY"])))

with x402_requests(client) as session:
    res = session.get("https://econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com/api/econsignal/divergence?country=China&lang=en")
    print(res.status_code, res.text)