59trust / 100

Expected Move

by Investing Math in Other

x402 APIPassing, checked 5 h ago

The price range implied by volatility over a number of days: one and two standard deviations, from implied or historical vol.

GET
https://invest-math.x402tookit.com/expected-move
Price
$0.02
per call in USDC
Uptime
56.3%
last 30 days
Response time
521 ms
571 ms slowest 5%
Last check
Passed
5 h ago, next in 57 min

Run a free test callHow to call it

Reliability

All checks passedSome failedAll failedNot checked

Status and outage history · Atom feed · Watch with other listings

How to call it

GET https://invest-math.x402tookit.com/expected-move

Each call costs $0.02 in USDC on Polygon, paid with the request over x402.

Run a free test callOne unpaid request, the way an agent sends it. You see the payment challenge it gets back. Nothing is charged.

Example request

From the listing.

GET https://invest-math.x402tookit.com/expected-move?days=30&price=100&volPct=30

Parameters

ParameterTypeRequiredDescription
daysnumberYesCalendar days ahead, 0.1 to 3650
pricenumberYesCurrent price
volPctnumberYesAnnualised volatility in percent, e.g. implied volatility

Example response

The provider's example. We can't check it without paying.

{
  "asOf": "2026-10-11T20:30:28.673Z",
  "dailyMovePct": 1.5703,
  "degraded": false,
  "disclaimer": "Screening signal computed from the named public source. Not financial, legal or investment advice; provided as is. Verify at the source before acting.",
  "horizonDays": 30,
  "notChecked": [
    "the real distribution: returns have fat tails, so moves beyond two standard deviations happen more often than a normal curve says",
    "direction: the range is symmetric and says nothing about up or down",
    "…1 more"
  ],
  "oneSigmaHigh": 108.98143,
  "oneSigmaLow": 91.758751,
  "oneSigmaMove": 8.6007327,
  "oneSigmaPct": 8.60073,
  "reasons": [
    "One-sigma move = price x volatility x sqrt(days / 365); lognormal bounds use exp(+/- sigma).",
    "Assumes a normal distribution of returns, which understates tail risk."
  ],
  "source": "computed locally",
  "summary": "Over 30 days at 30% volatility, a one standard deviation move is about +/-8.6 (8.6%): roughly 68% of outcomes between 91.76 and 108.98, 95% between 84.2 and 118.77.",
  "twoSigmaHigh": 118.76952,
  "twoSigmaLow": 84.196684,
  "verdict": "COMPUTED"
}

Call it from code

The curl command shows the payment challenge. The JavaScript and Python versions pay and call, and never pay more than $0.02.

curl: see the payment challenge
# bash or zsh: see the payment challenge. Nothing is charged.
curl -sS -g -i 'https://invest-math.x402tookit.com/expected-move?days=30&price=100&volPct=30'

# x402 v2 sends the challenge base64-encoded in the PAYMENT-REQUIRED header (v1 sends it in the body).
# To read the header:
curl -sS -g -o /dev/null -D - 'https://invest-math.x402tookit.com/expected-move?days=30&price=100&volPct=30' \
  | grep -i '^payment-required:' | cut -d' ' -f2 | tr -d '\r' | base64 --decode
JavaScript: pay and call
// npm i @x402/fetch @x402/evm viem
import { wrapFetchWithPayment, x402Client } from "@x402/fetch";
import { registerExactEvmScheme } from "@x402/evm/exact/client";
import { privateKeyToAccount } from "viem/accounts";

// Pays at most $0.02 per call.
const client = new x402Client().setSpendControls({ maxAmountPerPayment: "$0.02" });
registerExactEvmScheme(client, { signer: privateKeyToAccount(process.env.EVM_PRIVATE_KEY) });
const pay = wrapFetchWithPayment(fetch, client);

// Not sure it's safe to pay? ToolVet checks it first for $0.005. Pay for that from a separate
// client: this one is capped at $0.02 per payment. GET https://toolvet.app/api/v1/check?url=https%3A%2F%2Finvest-math.x402tookit.com%2Fexpected-move
const res = await pay("https://invest-math.x402tookit.com/expected-move?days=30&price=100&volPct=30");
console.log(res.status, await res.text());
Python: pay and call
# pip install "x402[requests,evm]"
import os
from eth_account import Account
from x402 import x402ClientSync
from x402.http.clients import x402_requests
from x402.mechanisms.evm import EthAccountSigner
from x402.mechanisms.evm.exact.register import register_exact_evm_client

# Pays at most $0.02 per call.
client = x402ClientSync().set_spend_controls({"max_amount_per_payment": "$0.02"})
register_exact_evm_client(client, EthAccountSigner(Account.from_key(os.environ["EVM_PRIVATE_KEY"])))

with x402_requests(client) as session:
    res = session.get("https://invest-math.x402tookit.com/expected-move?days=30&price=100&volPct=30")
    print(res.status_code, res.text)

Security scan

No findings

We scan names, descriptions and tool definitions for hidden instructions and other prompt-injection patterns.

Recent checks

WhenResultHTTPTimePrice
5 h agoPassed402571 ms$0.02
18 h agoPassed402521 ms$0.02
2 days agoExpected HTTP 402, got 530530105 ms-
3 days agoExpected HTTP 402, got 53053093 ms-
4 days agoExpected HTTP 402, got 53053085 ms-
Show 10 older checks
5 days agoExpected HTTP 402, got 530530125 ms-
5 days agoExpected HTTP 402, got 530530136 ms-
5 days agoExpected HTTP 402, got 530530196 ms-
5 days agoExpected HTTP 402, got 530530140 ms-
5 days agoPassed402526 ms$0.02
6 days agoPassed402517 ms$0.02
6 days agoPassed402516 ms$0.02
6 days agoPassed402525 ms$0.02
6 days agoPassed402541 ms$0.02
6 days agoPassed402513 ms$0.02