Movers Politics Us

{
  "data": {
    "movers": [
      {
        "category": "politics",
        "delta": 0.022,
        "p_now": 0.5834,
        "p_prev": 0.5614,
        "question": "Will Republicans hold the House in the 2026 midterms?",
        "slug": "republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11",
        "volume_surge_ratio": 0.97
      },
      {
        "category": "politics",
        "delta": -0.0176,
        "p_now": 0.4304,
        "p_prev": 0.448,
        "question": "Will the opposition candidate win Venezuela's December election?",
        "slug": "venezuela-opposition-wins-election-2026-12",
        "volume_surge_ratio": 0.97
      },
      {
        "category": "politics",
        "delta": 0.0106,
        "p_now": 0.2571,
        "p_prev": 0.2465,
        "question": "Will there be a US government shutdown at the October 2026 funding deadline?",
        "slug": "government-shutdown-october-2026",
        "volume_surge_ratio": 0.99
      },
      {
        "category": "politics",
        "delta": -0.0048,
        "p_now": 0.6494,
        "p_prev": 0.6542,
        "question": "Will the incumbent win the NYC mayoral election?",
        "slug": "nyc-mayor-incumbent-wins-2026-11",
        "volume_surge_ratio": 1.05
      },
      {
        "category": "politics",
        "delta": -0.0008,
        "p_now": 0.2978,
        "p_prev": 0.2986,
        "question": "Will Democrats win Senate control in the 2026 midterms?",
        "slug": "democrats-win-senate-midterms-2026-11",
        "volume_surge_ratio": 1.02
      },
      {
        "category": "politics",
        "delta": -0.0004,
        "p_now": 0.5049,
        "p_prev": 0.5054,
        "question": "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?",
        "slug": "republican-wins-presidency-2028",
        "volume_surge_ratio": 1.03
      },
      {
        "category": "politics",
        "delta": 0,
        "p_now": 0.2712,
        "p_prev": 0.2711,
        "question": "Will the US government shut down on October 1?",
        "slug": "us-government-shutdown-2026-10",
        "volume_surge_ratio": 0.98
      }
    ]
  },
  "meta": {
    "data_mode": "live",
    "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers.politics-us",
    "endpoint": "/v1/movers/politics-us",
    "freshness": "realtime",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-29T05:40:59.465Z",
    "request_id": "req_00000000",
    "sources": [
      "kalshi",
      "polymarket"
    ],
    "version": "1.0.0"
  }
}

# bash or zsh: see the payment challenge. Nothing is charged.
curl -sS -g -i 'https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us?limit=10&window=24h'

# x402 v2 sends the challenge base64-encoded in the PAYMENT-REQUIRED header (v1 sends it in the body).
# To read the header:
curl -sS -g -o /dev/null -D - 'https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us?limit=10&window=24h' \
  | grep -i '^payment-required:' | cut -d' ' -f2 | tr -d '\r' | base64 --decode

// npm i @x402/fetch @x402/evm viem
import { wrapFetchWithPayment, x402Client } from "@x402/fetch";
import { registerExactEvmScheme } from "@x402/evm/exact/client";
import { privateKeyToAccount } from "viem/accounts";

// Pays at most $0.04 per call.
const client = new x402Client().setSpendControls({ maxAmountPerPayment: "$0.04" });
registerExactEvmScheme(client, { signer: privateKeyToAccount(process.env.EVM_PRIVATE_KEY) });
const pay = wrapFetchWithPayment(fetch, client);

// Not sure it's safe to pay? ToolVet checks it first for $0.005. Pay for that from a separate
// client: this one is capped at $0.04 per payment. GET https://toolvet.app/api/v1/check?url=https%3A%2F%2Fx402-factory.com%2Fv1%2Fmovers%2Fpolitics-us
const res = await pay("https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us?limit=10&window=24h");
console.log(res.status, await res.text());

# pip install "x402[requests,evm]"
import os
from eth_account import Account
from x402 import x402ClientSync
from x402.http.clients import x402_requests
from x402.mechanisms.evm import EthAccountSigner
from x402.mechanisms.evm.exact.register import register_exact_evm_client

# Pays at most $0.04 per call.
client = x402ClientSync().set_spend_controls({"max_amount_per_payment": "$0.04"})
register_exact_evm_client(client, EthAccountSigner(Account.from_key(os.environ["EVM_PRIVATE_KEY"])))

with x402_requests(client) as session:
    res = session.get("https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us?limit=10&window=24h")
    print(res.status_code, res.text)