Polymarket Crypto Odds
by Vextorium in Markets & finance
Implied probability distribution of a crypto price from Polymarket ladder markets ("Will BTC be above X on date D?"): probability for each price level and date and the implied median. BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP.
https://api.vextorium.com/v1/polymarket-crypto-odds- Price
- $0.004
- per call in USDC
- Uptime
- 0.0%
- last 30 days
- Response time
- -
- no timed checks yet
- Last check
- Failed
- 2 h ago, next any minute now
Reliability
Latest check failed 2 h ago: Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units
How to call it
POST https://api.vextorium.com/v1/polymarket-crypto-odds
Each call costs $0.004 in USDC on Base, paid with the request over x402.
Run a free test callOne unpaid request, the way an agent sends it. You see the payment challenge it gets back. Nothing is charged.
Example request
From the listing.
POST https://api.vextorium.com/v1/polymarket-crypto-odds
content-type: application/json
{
"asset": "bitcoin"
}Parameters
| Parameter | Type | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
asset | string | No | bitcoin, ethereum, solana, xrp |
Example response
The provider's example. We can't check it without paying.
Example response, 36 lines
{
"asset": "bitcoin",
"events": [
{
"close": "2026-10-02T21:00:00Z",
"event": "Bitcoin above ___ on October 2, 5PM ET?",
"implied_median_approx": 82200,
"levels": [
{
"level": 82200,
"prob_above_pct": 50
},
{
"level": 82400,
"prob_above_pct": 50
}
]
},
{
"close": "2026-10-03T16:00:00Z",
"event": "Bitcoin above ___ on October 3?",
"implied_median_approx": 86000,
"levels": [
{
"level": 74000,
"prob_above_pct": 99.95
},
{
"level": 76000,
"prob_above_pct": 99.9
}
]
}
],
"note": "Probabilities implied by the market; they are not guaranteed predictions. Source: Polymarket."
}Call it from code
The curl command shows the payment challenge. The JavaScript and Python versions pay and call, and never pay more than $0.004.
curl: see the payment challenge
# bash or zsh: see the payment challenge. Nothing is charged.
curl -sS -g -i -X POST 'https://api.vextorium.com/v1/polymarket-crypto-odds' \
-H 'content-type: application/json' \
--data-raw '{"asset":"bitcoin"}'
# x402 v2 sends the challenge base64-encoded in the PAYMENT-REQUIRED header (v1 sends it in the body).
# To read the header:
curl -sS -g -o /dev/null -D - -X POST 'https://api.vextorium.com/v1/polymarket-crypto-odds' \
-H 'content-type: application/json' \
--data-raw '{"asset":"bitcoin"}' \
| grep -i '^payment-required:' | cut -d' ' -f2 | tr -d '\r' | base64 --decodeJavaScript: pay and call
// npm i @x402/fetch @x402/evm viem
import { wrapFetchWithPayment, x402Client } from "@x402/fetch";
import { registerExactEvmScheme } from "@x402/evm/exact/client";
import { privateKeyToAccount } from "viem/accounts";
// Pays at most $0.004 per call.
const client = new x402Client().setSpendControls({ maxAmountPerPayment: "$0.004" });
registerExactEvmScheme(client, { signer: privateKeyToAccount(process.env.EVM_PRIVATE_KEY) });
const pay = wrapFetchWithPayment(fetch, client);
// Not sure it's safe to pay? ToolVet checks it first for $0.005. Pay for that from a separate
// client: this one is capped at $0.004 per payment. GET https://toolvet.app/api/v1/check?url=https%3A%2F%2Fapi.vextorium.com%2Fv1%2Fpolymarket-crypto-odds&method=POST
const res = await pay("https://api.vextorium.com/v1/polymarket-crypto-odds", {
method: "POST",
headers: { "content-type": "application/json" },
body: JSON.stringify({
"asset": "bitcoin"
}),
});
console.log(res.status, await res.text());Python: pay and call
# pip install "x402[requests,evm]"
import os
from eth_account import Account
from x402 import x402ClientSync
from x402.http.clients import x402_requests
from x402.mechanisms.evm import EthAccountSigner
from x402.mechanisms.evm.exact.register import register_exact_evm_client
# Pays at most $0.004 per call.
client = x402ClientSync().set_spend_controls({"max_amount_per_payment": "$0.004"})
register_exact_evm_client(client, EthAccountSigner(Account.from_key(os.environ["EVM_PRIVATE_KEY"])))
with x402_requests(client) as session:
res = session.post(
"https://api.vextorium.com/v1/polymarket-crypto-odds",
json={
"asset": "bitcoin",
},
)
print(res.status_code, res.text)Security scan
No findings
We scan names, descriptions and tool definitions for hidden instructions and other prompt-injection patterns.
Recent checks
| When | Result | HTTP | Time | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 125 ms | $0.004 |
| 7 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 138 ms | $0.004 |
| 12 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 277 ms | $0.004 |
| 16 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 161 ms | $0.004 |
| 21 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 110 ms | $0.004 |
Show 10 older checks
| 26 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 144 ms | $0.004 |
| 31 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 109 ms | $0.004 |
| 35 h ago | Timed out | - | - | - |
| 40 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 78 ms | $0.004 |
| 44 h ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 133 ms | $0.004 |
| 2 days ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 94 ms | $0.004 |
| 2 days ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 255 ms | $0.004 |
| 2 days ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 81 ms | $0.004 |
| 3 days ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 90 ms | $0.004 |
| 3 days ago | Amount "0.004" is not in atomic token units | 402 | 73 ms | $0.004 |