Simplefunctions

Reliability

Status and outage history · Atom feed · Watch with other listings

How to connect

Add it to any MCP client that supports remote servers.

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "simplefunctions": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://simplefunctions.dev/api/mcp/mcp"
    }
  }
}

108 tools

• get_context

  START HERE. Global market snapshot: top edges (mispriced contracts), price movers, highlights, traditional markets — live exchange data updated every 15 min. With thesisId + apiKey: thesis-specific context including causal tree, edges with orderbook depth, evaluation history…

• list_theses

  List all theses for the authenticated user.

• inject_signal

  Feed an observation into a thesis — news, price move, or external event. Consumed in next evaluation cycle to update confidence and edges.

• trigger_evaluation

  Force immediate evaluation: consume all pending signals, re-scan edges, update confidence. Use after injecting important signals.

• scan_markets

  Search Kalshi prediction markets by keyword, series, or ticker. Returns live prices and volume — data not available via web search. Free-tier and rate-limited.

• create_thesis

  Create a new prediction market thesis from a TESTABLE CLAIM — a statement that can be verified true or false at a future time. GOOD: "Bitcoin closes 2026 above $50,000". BAD: "High conviction due to large price gap" (that is reasoning, not a claim). Builds a causal tree and…

• explore_public

  Browse public theses from other users. Free-tier and rate-limited. Pass a slug to get details, or omit to list all.

• get_markets

  Get traditional market prices via Databento. Default: SPY, VIX, TLT, GLD, USO. Use topic for deep dives: energy (WTI, Brent, NG, Heating Oil), rates (yield curve + credit), fx (DXY, JPY, EUR, GBP), equities (QQQ, IWM, EEM, sectors), crypto (BTC/ETH ETFs + futures), volatility…

• query_databento

  Free-form historical market data query via Databento. Stocks, ETFs, CME futures (WTI, Brent, bonds, VIX, FX, BTC), options. OHLCV daily/hourly/minute, trades, BBO. Max 30 days, 5 symbols, 500 rows. Free-tier and rate-limited.

• query

  BEST FOR QUESTIONS. Ask any question about probabilities or future events. Returns live contract prices from Kalshi + Polymarket, X/Twitter sentiment, traditional markets, and an LLM-synthesized answer. Free-tier and rate-limited; API keys unlock higher limits.

• screen_markets

  Indicator-based market screener. The middle layer between raw price scan and LLM thesis edges. Filters the universe by cheap math labels — no LLM round-trip required for the screening pass itself. Indicators: IY (implied annualized yield %), CRI (cliff risk =…

• create_strategy

  Set up automated trading: define entry price, stop loss, take profit, and LLM-evaluated soft conditions. The heartbeat engine checks conditions every 15 min and executes when met.

• list_strategies

  Advanced: List trading strategies for a thesis.

• update_strategy

  Advanced: Update a trading strategy (stop loss, take profit, status).

• get_milestones

  Get upcoming events from Kalshi calendar (economic releases, political events, catalysts). Free-tier and rate-limited.

• get_forecast

  Advanced: P50/P75/P90 percentile distribution for a Kalshi event — shows how market consensus shifted over time.

• get_settlements

  Advanced: Settled contracts with realized P&L.

• get_balance

  Advanced: Kalshi account balance and portfolio value.

• get_orders

  Advanced: Current resting orders on Kalshi.

• get_schedule

  Get exchange status and trading hours

• get_fills

  Advanced: Recent trade fills on Kalshi.

• what_if

  Scenario analysis: "what if OPEC cuts production?" Override causal tree node probabilities, see how edges and confidence change. Zero LLM cost, instant.

• augment_tree

  Advanced: Merge suggested causal tree nodes from evaluations into the tree (append-only).

• get_edges

  Top mispriced markets across all theses, ranked by edge size. Shows where your model disagrees with the market. No auth = public thesis edges. Auth = private + public.

• get_trade_ideas

  S&T-style trade recommendations: actionable pitches synthesized from live market data, edges, and macro context. Each idea has conviction level, catalyst timing, direction, and risk. Free-tier and rate-limited. START HERE when looking for what to trade.

• create_intent

  Declare an execution intent: "buy X when condition Y, expire at Z." Intents are the single gateway for all order execution. The local runtime daemon evaluates triggers and executes via user's Kalshi/Polymarket keys.

• list_intents

  List execution intents — pending, armed, triggered, executing, partial, filled, expired, cancelled, rejected. Shows the full execution pipeline status.

• cancel_intent

  Cancel an active intent. Stops trigger evaluation and prevents execution.

• search_x

  Search X/Twitter for social sentiment on any topic. Returns posts sorted by engagement. Not available via web search — uses X API directly.

• x_volume

  Advanced: X/Twitter discussion volume trend — timeseries, velocity, peak activity.

• x_news

  Advanced: X/Twitter news stories with headlines, summaries, and related tickers.

• x_account

  Advanced: Recent posts from a specific X/Twitter account.

• configure_heartbeat

  Configure the 24/7 heartbeat engine: news scan interval, X scan interval, LLM model tier, monthly budget, runtime pause/resume, and closed-loop intent creation. Agent can speed up monitoring during high volatility or slow down to save budget.

• update_thesis

  Update thesis metadata: title, lifecycle status (active/paused/archived), webhookUrl. Use configure_heartbeat.paused for runtime heartbeat pause/resume.

• add_position

  Record a new position in a thesis for tracking. Use after an intent fills or a manual trade.

• update_position

  Update a position: current price, edge, size, status (open→closed). Use to mark positions as closed or update tracking data.

• close_position

  Delete a position record from a thesis.

• get_evaluation_history

  Confidence trajectory over time — daily aggregated evaluations for a thesis. Use to analyze trends, detect convergence/divergence.

• update_nodes

  Directly update causal tree node probabilities — zero LLM cost, instant. Use when the agent observes a confirmed fact (e.g. "CPI came in at 3.2%") and wants to reflect it immediately. Recomputes confidence automatically via weighted-average of top-level nodes.

• get_heartbeat_status

  Get heartbeat config + this month's cost summary for a thesis. See news/X scan intervals, model tier, budget usage.

Security scan

Recent checks