75trust / 100
Trackrecord Luck
by manylives.me in Markets & finance
x402 APIPassing, checked 14 min ago
Is a trading strategy's record skill or luck? Its hit rate against a coin flip (z-score and p-value), the same p-value adjusted for every strategy tested in its book (Holm), how it ranks against the book's coin-flip strategies, and how many more calls it would need to be significant. Historical, scored periods only; general information, not advice.
GET https://manylives.me/paid/trackrecord/luck
Last 30 days
All checks passedSome failedAll failedNot checked
- Uptime
- 100%
- Response time
- 423 ms typical, 571 ms slowest 5%
- Last check
- 14 min ago
- Next check
- in 16 min
How to call it
# bash or zsh: see the payment challenge (nothing is charged)
curl -g -i -X GET 'https://manylives.me/paid/trackrecord/luck?id=CRY-5m-001'import { wrapFetchWithPayment } from "@x402/fetch";
import { x402Client } from "@x402/core/client";
import { ExactEvmScheme } from "@x402/evm/exact/client";
import { privateKeyToAccount } from "viem/accounts";
const client = new x402Client().register(
"eip155:8453",
new ExactEvmScheme(privateKeyToAccount(process.env.AGENT_KEY)),
);
const pay = wrapFetchWithPayment(fetch, client);
// Not sure it's safe to pay? Preflight it first for $0.005:
// GET https://toolvet.app/api/v1/check?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmanylives.me%2Fpaid%2Ftrackrecord%2Fluck
const res = await pay("https://manylives.me/paid/trackrecord/luck?id=CRY-5m-001");
console.log(await res.json());Example input
{
"id": "CRY-5m-001"
}Example output
{
"calls": 2400,
"hit_rate": 0.523,
"holm_adjusted_p": 0.9,
"id": "CRY-1h-042",
"p_value_one_sided": 0.012,
"verdict": "looks good on its own, but could be luck once you allow for how many strategies were tested",
"window": "all time"
}Security scan
- No findings. We scan names, descriptions and tool definitions for hidden instructions and other prompt-injection patterns.
Recent checks
| When | Result | HTTP | Time | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 min ago | Passed | 402 | 567 ms | $0.03 |
| 4 h ago | Passed | 402 | 534 ms | $0.03 |
| 8 h ago | Passed | 402 | 439 ms | $0.03 |
| 12 h ago | Passed | 402 | 386 ms | $0.03 |
| 16 h ago | Passed | 402 | 447 ms | $0.03 |
| 20 h ago | Passed | 402 | 467 ms | $0.03 |
| 23 h ago | Passed | 402 | 503 ms | $0.03 |
| 27 h ago | Passed | 402 | 416 ms | $0.03 |
| 30 h ago | Passed | 402 | 395 ms | $0.03 |
| 34 h ago | Passed | 402 | 571 ms | $0.03 |
| 37 h ago | Passed | 402 | 629 ms | $0.03 |
| 40 h ago | Passed | 402 | 400 ms | $0.03 |
| 44 h ago | Passed | 402 | 521 ms | $0.03 |
| 2 days ago | Passed | 402 | 394 ms | $0.03 |
| 2 days ago | Passed | 402 | 394 ms | $0.03 |